Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.022380 0.024266 0.026237 0.028450 0.030868 0.033430 0.036352
2025-08-10 0.019320 0.022051 0.025065 0.028643 0.032783 0.037431 0.043058
2025-08-17 0.017006 0.020155 0.023774 0.028252 0.033661 0.040005 0.048040
2025-08-24 0.015251 0.018629 0.022641 0.027774 0.034197 0.042004 0.052267
2025-08-31 0.013972 0.017514 0.021839 0.027536 0.034885 0.044098 0.056612
2025-09-07 0.012932 0.016584 0.021154 0.027331 0.035517 0.046071 0.060833
2025-09-14 0.012079 0.015812 0.020590 0.027200 0.036179 0.048055 0.065121
2025-09-21 0.011267 0.015028 0.019940 0.026881 0.036527 0.049587 0.068831
2025-09-28 0.010699 0.014524 0.019617 0.026961 0.037388 0.051827 0.073618
2025-10-05 0.010113 0.013953 0.019158 0.026806 0.037885 0.053550 0.077728
2025-10-12 0.009668 0.013548 0.018898 0.026900 0.038720 0.055773 0.082672
2025-10-19 0.009254 0.013161 0.018634 0.026962 0.039491 0.057919 0.087600
2025-10-26 0.008750 0.012634 0.018166 0.026735 0.039873 0.059590 0.092048
2025-11-02 0.008416 0.012340 0.018025 0.026990 0.041006 0.062479 0.098628
2025-11-09 0.007946 0.011815 0.017508 0.026635 0.041163 0.063846 0.102834
2025-11-16 0.007492 0.011289 0.016958 0.026188 0.041136 0.064900 0.106565
2025-11-23 0.007130 0.010883 0.016567 0.025966 0.041443 0.066490 0.111276
2025-11-30 0.006803 0.010513 0.016211 0.025773 0.041776 0.068128 0.116153
2025-12-07 0.006515 0.010191 0.015911 0.025650 0.042209 0.069941 0.121438
2025-12-14 0.006209 0.009824 0.015520 0.025351 0.042320 0.071199 0.125793
2025-12-21 0.006002 0.009607 0.015359 0.025426 0.043069 0.073592 0.132358
2025-12-28 0.005764 0.009326 0.015079 0.025280 0.043419 0.075291 0.137732
2026-01-04 0.005587 0.009137 0.014941 0.025369 0.044182 0.077764 0.144724